Captiva, Florida

... Lake Wind Advisory in effect from 10 am this morning to 7 PM
EST this evening...

The National Weather Service in Tampa Bay area - Ruskin FL has
issued a lake Wind Advisory... which is in effect from 10 am this
morning to 7 PM EST this evening.

A strong surface pressure gradient will develop later today in
between a low pressure system pushing northeast and a high
pressure system off the Atlantic coast. Low level winds will have
the potential to mix down to the surface which will increase to
20 to 25 mph over area lakes.

Precautionary/preparedness actions...

A lake Wind Advisory is issued when sustained winds are forecast
to be 20 to 29 mph with frequent gusts to near or above gale
force for at least 3 hours. Winds of these magnitudes will
create rough conditions on larger area lakes which could produce
damage to... or flip... small pleasure craft.

Outdoor enthusiasts may wish to postpone lake related activities
until conditions improve.

... Potential for severe storms and coastal hazards Wednesday into
Thursday...

Developing low pressure over the western Gulf of Mexico will
continue to intensify as it moves northeast toward the northern
Gulf Coast tonight and across the southeastern states Wednesday
and Wednesday night. Ahead of the low an increasing moist
southerly wind flow will develop over the region during Wednesday.
This increasing southerly flow over the adjacent Gulf waters will
help to build seas and generate large breaking waves... dangerous
rip currents and high surf along area beaches Wednesday into
Thursday.

Tides are expected to run above normal along the entire West Coast
of Florida... ranging from around one foot above normal near Fort
Myers to 2 to 3 feet above normal around the Tampa Bay region...
to 3 to 4 feet above normal further north along the Citrus and
Levy County coasts. These above normal tides could cause some
coastal flooding at times of high tide Wednesday and Wednesday
night... especially along the Nature Coast. Therefore... a coastal
Flood Watch is in effect from Manatee County northward through
Levy County.

The strong southerly wind flow and increasing seas will make for
hazardous boating conditions over the adjacent Gulf waters... and
mariners... fishermen... and boating enthusiasts may want to
postpone trips into the Gulf until conditions improve late in
the week.

As the low pressure area lifts northeast into the southeastern
states Wednesday a trailing cold front will approach from the
west. An increasingly moist and unstable air mass ahead of this
front will set the stage for showers and thunderstorms to develop
along and ahead of the boundary as it moves toward west central
and southwest Florida. Current timing of this front would bring
showers and thunderstorms into the Nature Coast around midday
Wednesday... with this activity spreading south into the Tampa Bay
area during the mid to late afternoon hours... and then across
southwest Florida during the evening.

At the current time sufficient low level moisture combined with
strong prefrontal convergence and increasing wind shear within
the atmosphere may support some strong to severe storms as the
front moves south through the region... especially from the Tampa
Bay area north through the Nature Coast. The main hazards from
these storms will be damaging winds and possible isolated
tornadoes and waterspouts. In addition... locally heavy rainfall
and deadly lightning strikes will accompany the storms.

All residents and visitors of west central and southwest Florida
should remain alert to rapidly changing weather conditions during
Wednesday and Wednesday night.

Stay tuned to NOAA Weather Radio or your local media outlet for
further updates on this developing weather situation.